July Client Letter
I am starting the July letter this month with our current talking point. Every year it seems the victims of scams increase, and the perpetrator’s become cannier and more sophisticated. Unfortunately, they do target the elderly. Even the most sophisticated has fallen into traps. I hope this brings some awareness to this growing problem.
In early 2021, Marjorie Bloom, a 77-year-old retired federal attorney, fell victim to a complex tech support scam that cost her $661,000. In summary, the scammer pretended to be a “fraud investigator” from PNC Bank, where Ms. Bloom had been a long-standing customer.
How could such a fraudulent activity occur? According to CNBC, the “investigator” persuaded her that criminals—using stolen personal data—were in the process of pilfering her life savings.
To protect her money, he said, she needed to take preventative action and move her funds quickly and covertly.
Divulging the problem to anyone, especially to her three children, could thwart the “bank’s” efforts to protect her life savings, he said.
How was she contacted? An unsolicited popup window on her PC alerted her to call a customer support phone number listed on the screen, supposedly for Microsoft.
Let’s be clear: Legitimate tech companies never do this. Let me repeat that. Legitimate tech companies never do this.
How did she receive the popup message? Possibly, she was simply surfing the web when a site that had been infected with a malicious code launched the popup and the phone number that led to criminals.
Unfortunately, she called the number, and the “engineer” informed her she had been hacked. She volunteered that she banked at PNC, and he transferred her to a scammer posing as a PNC fraud investigator.
It’s heartbreaking to relay such a story, but do you see some of the red flags? It’s easy in hindsight.
- Don’t tell anyone.
- You must move quickly.
- It was an unsolicited popup on her computer.
What’s more concerning is that if a legitimate bank employee raises red flags about unusual transactions, scammers are often ready with convincing scripts to coach you through the interaction, making it harder for legitimate fraud teams to intervene and protect you.
This is why you should always have a trusted advisor or someone you can rely on should you receive a call like this. Be polite, let them know you will call them back immediately with the information and hang up. Reach out to your trusted allies. Reach out to the institutions in question and let them know about the call. Remember, they always want you to believe it is urgent. That is a big RED Flag.
Scammers are slick, smooth, and ruthless.
A bigger problem
In 2024, Americans over the age of 60 lost $4.8 billion through scams and fraud, according to the FBI’s Internet Crime Report.
The average loss: $83,000.
Americans over all age groups reported total losses of over $16 billion, or a staggering 33% increase from 2023, with an average loss of just over $19,000.
The average loss for all age groups is less than the average loss reported by older people, which “underscores that fraud affects people of all ages. But when older adults are victimized, the impact is often catastrophic,” notes Kathy Stokes, AARP’s director of fraud prevention programs.
Why do scammers target older Americans?
- Older Americans control a significant portion of wealth.
- They tend to be more trusting.
- They may be less tech-savvy.
- They are more prone to cognitive decline and may not recognize they are being scammed.
- They are less likely to report the crime.
Not all the complaints included age information, and many folks who were scammed didn’t report it either because they believed they would never get their money back, or they were just too embarrassed to come forward.
It’s safe to assume that the nearly $5 billion older Americans had siphoned away is just the tip of the iceberg.
Nevertheless, as more of us become mindful of the various tools criminals use to defraud unsuspecting victims, we become better equipped to deal with potential threats and are in a much better position to avoid falling prey to the many schemes that are proliferating over the phone and across digital platforms.
Avoiding investment scams
In 2024, investment scams led the pack for older Americans with $1.8 billion in reported losses—almost twice the toll from tech support scams, which accounted for nearly $1 billion.
So, what are the best ways to avoid investment scams?
- Ask questions.Fraudsters are counting on you not to investigate before you invest. Fend them off with an inquisitive nature.
- Research before you invest.Unsolicited emails, message board postings, and company news releases should never be used as the sole basis for your investment decisions.
- Know the salesperson.Spend some time checking out the person touting the investment before you invest—even if you already know the person socially.
- Be wary of unsolicited offers.Be especially careful if you receive an unsolicited pitch to invest in a company or see it praised online, but you don’t find current financial information about it from independent sources.
- Protect yourself online.Online and social marketing sites offer a wealth of opportunities for fraudsters.
- Be leery of “guaranteed” returns.Outside a select few investments, such as FDIC-insured CDs, promises of high returns with little or no risk are a red flag.
- Strengthen your digital defenses.Use strong, unique passwords, enable multi-factor authentication, and keep your devices updated. Good digital hygiene helps block phishing and impersonation attempts.
- Talk to someone you trust.Mull it over with a friend or family member. Never succumb to the pressure that you must act now.
Please remember that we are always available if you have questions about any investment!
What about tech support scams?
According to Microsoft, tech support scams are an industry-wide issue where scammers use scare tactics to trick you into unnecessary technical support services that supposedly fix your device or remedy software problems that don’t exist.
Tech support scams are on the rise and often start with a popup message or a sudden phone call claiming there’s a problem with your computer or device.
The goal is to get you to pay for fake repair services or grant remote access to your device. Once inside, scammers can install harmful software that puts your personal and financial information at risk.
Furthermore, ignore popup warnings with phone numbers and keep your software updated.
The best defense is awareness. If you ever receive a suspicious message or call, don’t respond or click any links. Instead, contact the company directly using a number from their official website—not one from a popup or email—or reach out directly to a trusted source, such as your IT professional or a family member or friend.
What if you are a victim?
Report the crime at https://www.ic3.gov/. The Internet Crime Complaint Center (IC3) is the central hub for reporting cyber-enabled crime. It is run by the FBI.
What if you paid a scammer? The Federal Trade Commission encourages you to contact the company or bank that issued the credit or debit card. Inform them it was a fraudulent charge.
Fraudulent wire transfers could be reversed if you act quickly.
Cryptocurrency payments are not reversible. Any company that insists on payment in cryptocurrency should immediately raise serious concerns, as it is often a hallmark of fraudulent activity.
You can report the fraud at https://reportfraud.ftc.gov/.
Bottom line
Scammers are growing increasingly sophisticated; they show no mercy and often target older adults with deceptive and convincing tactics.
But with the right mix of knowledge, caution, and common sense, you can greatly reduce your risk of fraud.
If you have any questions or concerns, don’t hesitate to reach out to me or any member of our team. We’re here to help.
Cautious optimism leads to new heights
Amid an onslaught of anxieties over tariffs, the economy, and geopolitical challenges in the Middle East, investors brushed aside worries and drove the S&P 500 Index and the Nasdaq Composite to record closing highs on the final two trading days of June, according to data provided by MarketWatch.
Source: Wall Street Journal, MSCI.com, Bloomberg, MarketWatch
MTD returns: May 30, 2025–June 30, 2025
YTD returns: December 31, 2024–June 30, 2025
**in US dollars
A sharp selloff in early April pulled the S&P 500 down 18.9% from its Feb. 19 high, taking the index within just over one percentage point of officially entering bear market territory.
But a 90-day delay in the president’s reciprocal tariffs, a steady economy, stable interest rates, AI-driven momentum, and a buy-the-dip mentality have offset lingering economic and geopolitical fears.
Although trade agreements often require years of negotiation, the optimism among investors on trade and the possibility of progress has also boosted overall sentiment.
Notably, the hostilities between Israel and Iran had only a limited and short-term effect on stocks and oil. Historically, geopolitical turmoil has not significantly impacted U.S. markets, according to data from LPL Research.
Practically speaking, it boils down to whether trouble overseas will affect the U.S. economy. For example, the OPEC oil embargo in the early 1970s exacerbated inflation and contributed to the 1974 recession. And with it, stocks landed in a bear market.
In June, however, Israel’s attack on Iran produced dramatic headlines but had virtually no impact on U.S. economic activity. While tensions are simmering, the swift resolution eliminated a potential headwind.
The long view
We recognize the importance of risk management, and your level of risk tolerance plays a key role in the recommendations we offer. If you're unsure about your risk profile or if your current portfolio doesn't seem aligned with your preferences, we encourage you to reach out for a fresh risk evaluation.
The swift decline in stocks and subsequent recovery are a stark reminder that successful investors play the long game and avoid timing market volatility.
However, your financial strategy incorporates unforeseen setbacks—the unpredictable market downturns—that are likely to occur as you work towards your financial objectives.
It may seem like a cliché (and it is), but an old adage deserves to be repeated: “Time in the market, not timing the market,” is the not-so-secret sauce that plays a key role in building wealth.
Patience is a virtue. It’s often the quiet strength behind the most meaningful successes. We see it in the data. Historically, U.S. equities have overcome difficult periods, eclipsing their former highs following a setback.
As we wrap up, let’s look at one dataset. Bespoke reports that the likelihood of the S&P 500 finishing higher on any single day is just 53% (since 1928). Such odds are slightly higher than a coin toss.
Yet, when examining all one-month intervals going back to 1928, the probability of the S&P 500 closing higher after one month increases to 63%. For one-year periods, the index has risen 75% of the time. This figure jumps to 95% over a decade.
Although past performance does not ensure future outcomes, the U.S. stock market has a remarkable long-term track record, and our investing philosophy aims to leverage the positive trend.
In short, patience and the long game have rewarded investors.
I trust this review has been informative.
If you have any concerns or would simply like to talk, please contact me or any team member.
Thank you for choosing us as your financial advisor. We are honored and humbled by your trust.
Cheryl L. Myler, CRPC
Vice President, Wealth Management
Content prepared by Horsesmouth for use by Financial Advisors'. Horsesmouth is an independent organization and is not affiliated with Raymond James.
Any opinions are those of the author and not necessarily those of Raymond James. The information contained in this report does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. There is no assurance any of the trends mentioned will continue or forecasts will occur. The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but Raymond James does not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Any information is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. Raymond James and its advisors do not offer tax or legal advice. You should discuss any tax or legal matters with the appropriate professional. Contributions to a traditional IRA may be tax-deductible depending on the taxpayer's income, tax-filing status, and other factors.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), commonly known as “The Dow” is an index representing 30 stock of companies maintained and reviewed by the editors of the Wall Street Journal. The NASDAQ composite is an unmanaged index of securities traded on the NASDAQ system. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held stocks that is generally considered representative of the U.S. stock market. The Russell 2000 Index measures the performance of the 2,000 smallest companies in the Russell 3000 Index, which represent approximately 8% of the total market capitalization of the Russell 3000 Index. The MSCI ACWI ex USA Investable Market Index (IMI) captures large, mid and small cap representation across 22 of 23 Developed Markets (DM) countries (excluding the United States) and 24 Emerging Markets (EM) countries*. With 6,211 constituents, the index covers approximately 99% of the global equity opportunity set outside the US. The MSCI Emerging Markets is designed to measure equity market performance in 25 emerging market indices. The index's three largest industries are materials, energy, and banks. The Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index is a broad-based flagship benchmark that measures the investment grade, US dollar-denominated, fixed-rate taxable bond market.
