The November Employment Report

Chief Economist Scott Brown discusses current economic conditions.

Weekly Market Snapshot

Chief Economist Scott Brown discusses the latest market data.

Uncertainty Rises as December 15 Tariff Decision Looms

Washington Policy Analyst Ed Mills explains that a lack of clarity on phase one trade deal prospects has markets on edge.

GDP: Arithmetic and Forecasting

Chief Economist Scott Brown discusses current economic conditions.

Weekly Market Snapshot

Chief Economist Scott Brown discusses the latest market data.

Don’t Expect a Full Trade War Resolution Before the Election

“The major issues continue to be intractable,” says Washington Policy Analyst Ed Mills.

Settle in for Continued Election-Related Market Shifts

“What I hear [from investors] is a lot of anxiousness,” says Washington Policy Analyst Ed Mills – and that unease will likely translate to market uncertainty for at least the next twelve months.

Markets Already Tense Over Potential Policy Swings in 2020

The markets appear more attentive than usual at this point in the primary race, says Washington Policy Analyst Ed Mills; investors “don’t want to be caught off guard” the way many were in 2016.

Economic Brief - A Field Guide to Recessions (updated)

Chief Economist Scott Brown discusses current economic conditions.

Is the Next Recession on the Horizon?

Currently, a simple yield curve model puts the odds of entering a recession within the next 12 months at about 40%.